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An Intuitive Introduction to Probability
  • Level Foundation
  • المدة 30 ساعات hours
  • الطبع بواسطة University of Zurich
  • Offered by

عن

This course will provide you with a basic, intuitive and practical introduction into Probability Theory. You will be able to learn how to apply Probability Theory in different scenarios and you will earn a "toolbox" of methods to deal with uncertainty in your daily life. The course is split in 5 modules. In each module you will first have an easy introduction into the topic, which will serve as a basis to further develop your knowledge about the topic and acquire the "tools" to deal with uncertainty. Additionally, you will have the opportunity to complete 5 exercise sessions to reflect about the content learned in each module and start applying your earned knowledge right away. The topics covered are: "Probability", "Conditional Probability", "Applications", "Random Variables", and "Normal Distribution". You will see how the modules are taught in a lively way, focusing on having an entertaining and useful learning experience! We are looking forward to see you online!

الوحدات

Welcome

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1 Videos

  • Welcome

1 Readings

  • Script: Part 1

1 Quiz

  • Introductory Quiz

1.1 Introduction

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1 Videos

  • Introduction

1 Quiz

  • 1.1

1.2 Definition and Rules

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1 Videos

  • Definition and Rules

1 Quiz

  • 1.2

1.3 A First Look at Statistical Independence

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1 Videos

  • A First Look at Statistical Independence

1 Quiz

  • 1.3

1.4 Subjective Probabilities

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1 Videos

  • Subjective Probabilities

1 Quiz

  • 1.4

1.5 Empirical Probabilities: Benford's Law

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  • Empirical Probabilities: Benford's Law

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  • 1.5

Exercise

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1 Videos

  • Exercise

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  • 1.6

2.1 Intuition

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1 Videos

  • Intuition

1 Readings

  • Script: Part 2

1 Quiz

  • 2.1

2.2 Definition

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  • Definition

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  • 2.2

2.3 Multiplication Rules

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1 Videos

  • Multiplication Rules

1 Quiz

  • 2.3

2.4 Probability Tables

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  • Probability Tables

1 Quiz

  • 2.4

2.5 Bayes Rule

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  • Bayes Rule

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  • 2.5

Exercise

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  • Exercise

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  • 2.6

3.1 The Birthday Problem

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  • The Birthday Problem

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  • 3.1

3.2 The Monty Hall Problem

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  • The Monty Hall Problem

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  • 3.2

3.3 Structuring Risks

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  • Structuring Risks: Part 1
  • Structuring Risks: Part 2

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  • 3.3.1
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3.4 The Prosecutor's Fallacy

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  • The Prosecutor's Fallacy

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3.5 The Sad Story of Sally Clark

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  • The Sad Story of Sally Clark

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  • 3.5

4.1 Discrete Random Variables

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  • Discrete Random Variables

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  • Script: Part 4

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  • 4.1

4.2 Expected Value

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  • Expected Value

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  • 4.2

4.3 Measures of Dispersion

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  • Measures of Dispersion

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4.4 Application: Financial Model

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  • Application: Financial Model

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4.5 Binomial Distribution

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  • Binomial Distribution

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4.6 Application: Airline Overbooking

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  • Application: Airline Overbooking

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Exercise

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  • Exercise 1
  • Exercise 2

2 Quiz

  • 4.7
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5.1 Continuous Random Variables

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  • Continuous Random Variables

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  • Script: Part 5

1 Quiz

  • 5.1

5.2 Normal Distribution

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  • Normal Distribution

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  • 5.2

5.3 Calculating Normal Probabilities

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  • Calculating Normal Probabilities

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  • 5.3

5.4 Calculations with the Normal Distribution

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  • Calculations with the Normal Distribution

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  • 5.4

5.5 Application of the Normal Distribution

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  • Application of the Normal Distribution

Exercise

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  • Exercise

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  • 5.5

Auto Summary

Embark on a journey into the world of Probability Theory with this engaging and practical course designed for beginners in the Maths & Statistics domain. Taught by expert instructors on Coursera, "An Intuitive Introduction to Probability" demystifies the complexities of probability and equips you with essential methods to handle uncertainty in various aspects of life. The course is structured into five concise modules, each beginning with a straightforward introduction to build your foundational understanding. As you progress, you will delve deeper into key concepts such as Probability, Conditional Probability, Applications, Random Variables, and Normal Distribution. Each module is complemented by an exercise session, enabling you to apply your newly acquired knowledge through practical reflections. Expect an interactive and enjoyable learning experience tailored to keep you engaged and motivated. With a total duration of 30 hours, this course offers flexible subscription options, including Starter and Professional tiers, catering to your specific learning needs. Ideal for individuals at the foundational level seeking to enhance their statistical reasoning and problem-solving skills, this course is your gateway to mastering Probability Theory. Join us online and start your learning adventure today!

Karl Schmedders
Instructor

Karl Schmedders