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Math behind Moneyball
  • Level Foundation
  • Duration 65 hours
  • Course by University of Houston
  • Offered by

About

Learn how probability, math, and statistics can be used to help baseball, football and basketball teams improve, player and lineup selection as well as in game strategy.

Modules

Course Overview

    • 1 Videos
    • 1 Readings
Show info about module content

1 Videos

  • All you will learn

1 Readings

  • Suggested Textbooks (Not Required)

Part 1 Introduction

    • 1 Videos
    • 1 Readings
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1 Videos

  • 1.1 Introduction

1 Readings

  • Download Excel Files (Important!)

Part 2 Pythagorean Theorem

    • 1 Videos
    • 2 Readings
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1 Videos

  • 1.2 Pythagorean Theorem

2 Readings

  • Excel Files
  • Recommended reading

Part 3 Ten runs = One win

    • 1 Videos
    • 2 Readings
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1 Videos

  • 1.3 Ten runs = One win

2 Readings

  • Excel file
  • Recommended reading

Homework Problems 1 and 2

    • 1 Videos
    • 1 Readings
Show info about module content

1 Videos

  • Homework Problems 1 and 2

1 Readings

  • Excel file

Test Questions 1 and 2

    • 1 Assignment
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1 Assignment

  • Test Questions 1 and 2

Part 4 Runs Created

    • 1 Videos
    • 2 Readings
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1 Videos

  • 1.4 Runs created

2 Readings

  • Excel file
  • Recommended reading

Part 5 Runs Created Per Game

    • 1 Videos
    • 2 Readings
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1 Videos

  • 1.5 Runs Created Per Game

2 Readings

  • Excel Files
  • Recommended reading

Homework Problems 3

    • 1 Readings
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1 Readings

  • Homework Problem 3

Test Question 3

    • 1 Assignment
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1 Assignment

  • Test Question 3

Part 6 Multiple Regression 1

    • 1 Videos
    • 2 Readings
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1 Videos

  • 1.6 Multiple Regression 1

2 Readings

  • Excel Files
  • Recommended reading

Part 7 Multiple Regression 2

    • 1 Videos
    • 2 Readings
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1 Videos

  • 1.7 Multiple Regression 2

2 Readings

  • Excel Files
  • Recommended reading

Part 8 Linear Weights

    • 1 Videos
    • 2 Readings
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1 Videos

  • 1.8 Linear Weights

2 Readings

  • Excel Files
  • Recommended reading

Part 9 On Base Percentage + Slugging Percentage (OPS)

    • 1 Videos
    • 2 Readings
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1 Videos

  • 1.9 On Base Percentage + Slugging Percentage

2 Readings

  • Excel Files
  • Recommended reading

Part 10 Barry Bonds Runs per Game

    • 1 Videos
    • 2 Readings
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1 Videos

  • 1.10 Barry Bonds Runs per Game

2 Readings

  • Excel Files
  • Recommended reading

Homework Problems 4

    • 1 Readings
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1 Readings

  • Homework Problems 4

Test Question 4

    • 1 Assignment
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1 Assignment

  • Test Question 4

Part 1 Excel Range Names

    • 1 Videos
    • 3 Readings
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1 Videos

  • 2.1 Excel Range Names

3 Readings

  • Download Excel Files (Important!)
  • Excel Files
  • Recommended Reading

Part 2 Excel Tables

    • 1 Videos
    • 2 Readings
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1 Videos

  • 2.2 Excel Tables

2 Readings

  • Excel Files
  • Recommended Reading

Part 3 Conditional Formatting: Top Bottom Rules and Highlight Cells

    • 1 Videos
    • 2 Readings
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1 Videos

  • 2.3 Conditional Formatting: Top Bottom Rules

2 Readings

  • Excel Files
  • Recommended Reading

Part 4 Conditional Formatting: Data Bars, Color Scales and Icon sets

    • 1 Videos
    • 2 Readings
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1 Videos

  • 2.4 Conditional Formatting: Data Bars

2 Readings

  • Excel Files
  • Recommended Reading

Part 5 Conditional Formatting: The Formula Option

    • 1 Videos
    • 2 Readings
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1 Videos

  • 2.5 Conditional Formatting: The Formula Option

2 Readings

  • Excel Files
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Part 6 COUNTIF and COUNTIFS functions and Remove Duplicates

    • 1 Videos
    • 2 Readings
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1 Videos

  • 2.6 COUNTIF and COUNTIFS functions

2 Readings

  • Excel Files
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Part 7 SUMIF and SUMIFS Functions

    • 1 Videos
    • 2 Readings
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1 Videos

  • 2.7 SUMIF and SUMIFS Functions

2 Readings

  • Excel Files
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Part 8 AVERAGEIF and AVERAGEIFS Functions

    • 1 Videos
    • 2 Readings
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1 Videos

  • 2.8 AVERAGEIF and AVERAGEIFS Functions

2 Readings

  • Excel Files
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Homework Problem 5

    • 1 Readings
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1 Readings

  • Homework Problem 5

Test Question 5

    • 1 Assignment
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1 Assignment

  • Test Question 5

Part 9 Pivot Tables I

    • 1 Videos
    • 2 Readings
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1 Videos

  • 2.9 PivotTables I

2 Readings

  • Excel Files
  • Recommended Reading

Part 10 Pivot Tables II

    • 1 Videos
    • 2 Readings
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1 Videos

  • 2.10 PivotTables II

2 Readings

  • Excel Files
  • Recommended Reading

Homework Problem 6

    • 1 Readings
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1 Readings

  • Homework Problem 6

Test Question 6

    • 1 Assignment
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1 Assignment

  • Test Question 6

Part 1 Monte Carlo Simulation I

    • 1 Videos
    • 3 Readings
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1 Videos

  • 3.1 Monte Carlo Simulation I

3 Readings

  • Download Excel Files (Important!)
  • Excel Files
  • Recommended Reading

Part 2 Monte Carlo Simulation Part II

    • 1 Videos
    • 1 Readings
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1 Videos

  • 3.2 Monte Carlo Simulation Part II

1 Readings

  • Excel Files

Part 3 Monte Carlo Simulation Part III

    • 1 Videos
    • 1 Readings
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1 Videos

  • 3.3 Monte Carlo Simulation Part III

1 Readings

  • Excel Files

Test Question 7

    • 1 Assignment
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1 Assignment

  • Test Question 7

Part 4 Baseball Monte Carlo simulation

    • 1 Videos
    • 1 Readings
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1 Videos

  • 3.4 Baseball Monte Carlo simulation

1 Readings

  • Excel Files

Part 5 Resampling

    • 1 Videos
    • 2 Readings
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1 Videos

  • 3.5 Resampling

2 Readings

  • Excel Files
  • Recommended Reading

Part 6 Deflategate

    • 1 Videos
    • 1 Readings
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1 Videos

  • 3.6 Deflategate

1 Readings

  • Excel Files

Homework Problem 8

    • 1 Readings
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1 Readings

  • Homework Problem 8

Test Question 8

    • 1 Assignment
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1 Assignment

  • Test Question 8

Part 1 Bunting and Expected Runs

    • 1 Videos
    • 3 Readings
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1 Videos

  • 4.1 Bunting and Expected Runs

3 Readings

  • Download Excel Files (Important!)
  • Excel Files
  • Recommended Reading

Part 2 Base Stealing

    • 1 Videos
    • 2 Readings
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1 Videos

  • 4.2 Base Stealing

2 Readings

  • Excel Files
  • Recommended reading

Homework Problem 9

    • 1 Readings
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1 Readings

  • Homework Problem 9

Test Question 9

    • 1 Assignment
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1 Assignment

  • Test Question 9

Part 3 Range Factor

    • 1 Videos
    • 2 Readings
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1 Videos

  • 4.3 Range Factor

2 Readings

  • Excel Files
  • Recommended Reading

Part 4 UZR (Ultimate Zone Rating) and Fielding

    • 1 Videos
    • 1 Readings
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1 Videos

  • 4.4 UZR (Ultimate Zone Rating) and Fielding

1 Readings

  • Excel Files

Homework Problem 10

    • 1 Readings
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1 Readings

  • Homework Problem 10

Homework Problem 11

    • 1 Readings
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1 Readings

  • Homework Problem 11

Test Question 10 and 11

    • 1 Assignment
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1 Assignment

  • Test Questions 10&11

Part 5 Introduction to Fan Graphs

    • 1 Videos
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1 Videos

  • 4.5 Introduction to Fan Graphs

Part 6 DIPS (Defense Independent Pitching Statistics)

    • 1 Videos
    • 2 Readings
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1 Videos

  • 4.6 DIPS (Defense Independent Pitching Statistics)

2 Readings

  • Excel Files
  • Recommended Reading

Homework Problem 12

    • 1 Readings
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1 Readings

  • Homework Problem 12

Part 7 Win Probability Added

    • 1 Videos
    • 2 Readings
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1 Videos

  • 4.7 Win Probability Added

2 Readings

  • Excel Files
  • Recommended Reading

Part 8 Runs Above Average

    • 1 Videos
    • 2 Readings
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1 Videos

  • 4.8 Runs above Average

2 Readings

  • Excel Files
  • Recommended Reading

Test Question 12

    • 1 Assignment
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1 Assignment

  • Test Question 12

Part 9 WAR (Wins Above Replacement)

    • 1 Videos
    • 2 Readings
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1 Videos

  • 4.9 WAR (Wins above Replacement)

2 Readings

  • Excel Files
  • Recommended Reading

Homework Problem 13

    • 1 Readings
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1 Readings

  • Homework Problem 13

Test Question 13

    • 1 Assignment
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1 Assignment

  • Test Question 13

Part 10 How to Make Your Team Win?

    • 1 Videos
    • 1 Readings
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1 Videos

  • 4.10 What Makes your Team Win?

1 Readings

  • Excel Files

Part 11 Defensive Shifts

    • 1 Videos
    • 1 Readings
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1 Videos

  • 4.11 Defensive Shifts

1 Readings

  • Excel Files

Part 12 Catcher Framing

    • 1 Videos
    • 1 Readings
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1 Videos

  • 4.12 Catcher Framing

1 Readings

  • Excel Files

Part 13 Park Factors

    • 1 Videos
    • 2 Readings
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1 Videos

  • 4.13 Park Factors

2 Readings

  • Excel Files
  • Recommended Reading

Homework Problem 14

    • 1 Readings
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1 Readings

  • Homework Problem 14

Test Question 14

    • 1 Assignment
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1 Assignment

  • Test Question 14

Part 1 Random Variables

    • 1 Videos
    • 3 Readings
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1 Videos

  • 5.1 Random Variables

3 Readings

  • Download Excel Files (Important!)
  • Excel Files
  • Recommended Reading

Part 2 The Normal Random Variable

    • 1 Videos
    • 2 Readings
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1 Videos

  • 5.2 The Normal Random Variable

2 Readings

  • Excel Files
  • Recommended Reading

Part 3 Streakiness

    • 1 Videos
    • 2 Readings
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1 Videos

  • 5.3 Streakiness

2 Readings

  • Excel Files
  • Recommended Reading

Part 4 What makes NFL teams win?

    • 1 Videos
    • 1 Readings
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1 Videos

  • 5.4 What makes NFL teams win?

1 Readings

  • Excel Files

Homework Problem 15

    • 1 Readings
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1 Readings

  • Homework Problem 15

Test Question 15

    • 1 Assignment
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1 Assignment

  • Test Question 15

Part 5 Deconstructing the NFL QB rating

    • 1 Videos
    • 1 Readings
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1 Videos

  • 5.5 Deconstructing the NFL QB rating

1 Readings

  • Excel Files

Homework Problem 16

    • 1 Readings
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1 Readings

  • Homework Problem 16

Test Question 16

    • 1 Assignment
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1 Assignment

  • Test Question 16

Part 6 Football States and Values

    • 1 Videos
    • 2 Readings
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1 Videos

  • 5.6 Football States and Values

2 Readings

  • Excel Files
  • Recommended Reading

Part 7 Football Decision Making

    • 1 Videos
    • 2 Readings
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1 Videos

  • 5.7 Football Decision Making

2 Readings

  • Excel Files
  • Recommended Reading

Homework Problem 17

    • 1 Readings
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1 Readings

  • Homework Problem 17

Test Question 17

    • 1 Assignment
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1 Assignment

  • Test Question 17

Part 8 The Belichick Decision

    • 1 Videos
    • 1 Readings
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1 Videos

  • 5.8 The Belichick Decision

1 Readings

  • Excel Files

Homework Problem 18

    • 1 Readings
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1 Readings

  • Homework Problem 18

Test Question 18

    • 1 Assignment
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1 Assignment

  • Test Question 18

Part 9 Text Functions and Analyzing NFL plays

    • 1 Videos
    • 2 Readings
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1 Videos

  • 5.9 Text functions and Analyzing NFL plays

2 Readings

  • Excel Files
  • Recommended Reading

Part 10 Texans 1st and 10 Play Selection

    • 1 Videos
    • 1 Readings
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1 Videos

  • 5.10 Texans 1st and 10 Play Selection

1 Readings

  • Excel Files

Part 11 STDEVIF and Too Many Field Goal Attempts

    • 1 Videos
    • 1 Readings
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1 Videos

  • 5.11 STDEVIF and Too Many Field Goal Attempts

1 Readings

  • Excel Files

Homework Problem 19

    • 1 Readings
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1 Readings

  • Homework Problem 19

Test Question 19

    • 1 Assignment
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1 Assignment

  • Test Question 19

Part 1 Game Theory Part I

    • 1 Videos
    • 3 Readings
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1 Videos

  • 6.1 Game Theory Part I

3 Readings

  • Download Excel Files (Important!)
  • Excel Files
  • Recommended Reading

Part 2 Game Theory Part II

    • 1 Videos
    • 1 Readings
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1 Videos

  • 6.2 Game Theory Part II

1 Readings

  • Excel Files

Homework Problem 20

    • 1 Readings
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1 Readings

  • Homework Problem 20

Test Question 20

    • 1 Assignment
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1 Assignment

  • Test Question 20

Part 3 Basketball Shot Selection

    • 1 Videos
    • 1 Readings
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1 Videos

  • 6.3 Basketball Shot Selection

1 Readings

  • Excel Files

Part 4 Effective Field Goal Percentage (EFG)

    • 1 Videos
    • 2 Readings
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1 Videos

  • 6.4 Effective Field Goal Percentage (EFG)

2 Readings

  • Excel Files
  • Recommended Reading

Homework Problem 21

    • 1 Readings
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1 Readings

  • Homework Problem 21

Test Question 21

    • 1 Assignment
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1 Assignment

  • Test Question 21

Part 5 Hollinger Team Metrics

    • 1 Videos
    • 1 Readings
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1 Videos

  • 6.5 Hollinger Team Metrics

1 Readings

  • Excel Files

Part 6 Four Factors

    • 1 Videos
    • 2 Readings
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1 Videos

  • 6.6 Four Factors

2 Readings

  • Excel Files
  • Recommended Reading

Homework Problem 22

    • 1 Readings
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1 Readings

  • Homework Problem 22

Test Question 22

    • 1 Assignment
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1 Assignment

  • Test Question 22

Part 7 Basketball Box Score Models

    • 1 Videos
    • 2 Readings
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1 Videos

  • 6.7 Basketball Box Score Models

2 Readings

  • Excel Files
  • Recommended Reading

Homework Problem 23

    • 1 Readings
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1 Readings

  • Homework Problem 23

Test Question 23

    • 1 Assignment
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1 Assignment

  • Test Question 23

Part 1 Extracting Lineup data and Computing raw + -

    • 1 Videos
    • 2 Readings
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1 Videos

  • 7.1 Extracting Lineup data and Computing raw + -

2 Readings

  • Download Excel Files (Important!)
  • Excel Files

Part 2 Computing Pairs Lineup Statistics

    • 1 Videos
    • 1 Readings
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1 Videos

  • 7.2 Computing Pairs Lineup Statistics

1 Readings

  • Excel Files

Part 3 Adjusted + -

    • 1 Videos
    • 1 Readings
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1 Videos

  • 7.3 Adjusted + -

1 Readings

  • Excel Files

Homework Problem 24

    • 1 Readings
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1 Readings

  • Homework Problem 24

Test Question 24

    • 1 Assignment
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1 Assignment

  • Test 24

Part 4 ESPM RPM (Real Plus Minus)

    • 1 Videos
    • 1 Readings
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1 Videos

  • 7.4 ESPM RPM (Real Plus Minus)

1 Readings

  • Excel Files

Homework Problem 25

    • 1 Readings
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1 Readings

  • Homework Problem 25

Test Question 25

    • 1 Assignment
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1 Assignment

  • Test 25

Part 5 How Analytics Helped the Mavs beat the Heat

    • 1 Videos
    • 1 Readings
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1 Videos

  • 7.5 How Analytics Helped the Mavs beat the Heat

1 Readings

  • Excel Files

Part 6 SportsVu data

    • 1 Videos
    • 1 Readings
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1 Videos

  • 7.6 SportsVu data

1 Readings

  • Excel Files

Homework Problem 26

    • 1 Readings
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1 Readings

  • Homework Problem 26

Test Question 26

    • 1 Assignment
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1 Assignment

  • Test 26

Part 7 In Game Basketball Decision-Making

    • 1 Videos
    • 1 Readings
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1 Videos

  • 7.7 In Game Basketball Decision-Making

1 Readings

  • Excel Files

Part 8 Hack a Jordan (or Dwight)

    • 1 Videos
    • 1 Readings
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1 Videos

  • 7.8 Hack a Jordan (or Dwight)

1 Readings

  • Excel Files

Homework Problem 27

    • 1 Readings
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1 Readings

  • Homework Problem 27

Test Question 27

    • 1 Assignment
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1 Assignment

  • Test 27

Part 1 Rating NFL teams

    • 1 Videos
    • 3 Readings
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1 Videos

  • 8.1 Rating NFL teams

3 Readings

  • Download Excel Files (Important!)
  • Excel Files
  • Recommended Reading

Homework Problem 28

    • 1 Readings
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1 Readings

  • Homework Problem 28

Test Question 28

    • 1 Assignment
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1 Assignment

  • Test 28

Part 2 Computing Strength of Schedule

    • 1 Videos
    • 2 Readings
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1 Videos

  • 8.2 Computing Strength of Schedule

2 Readings

  • Excel Files
  • Recommended Reading

Homework Problem 29

    • 1 Readings
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1 Readings

  • Homework Problem 29

Test Question 29

    • 1 Assignment
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1 Assignment

  • Test 29

Part 3 Rating NFL Offenses and Defenses

    • 1 Videos
    • 2 Readings
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1 Videos

  • 8.3 Rating NFL Offenses and Defenses

2 Readings

  • Excel Files
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Homework Problem 30

    • 1 Readings
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1 Readings

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Test Question 30

    • 1 Assignment
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1 Assignment

  • Test 30

Part 4 Multiplicative Rating Models for Soccer

    • 1 Videos
    • 2 Readings
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1 Videos

  • 8.4 Multiplicative Rating Models for Soccer

2 Readings

  • Excel Files
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Homework Problem 31

    • 1 Readings
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1 Readings

  • Homework Problem 31

Test Question 31

    • 1 Assignment
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1 Assignment

  • Test 31

Part 5 Regularization

    • 1 Videos
    • 1 Readings
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1 Videos

  • 8.5 Regularization

1 Readings

  • Excel Files

Part 6 Simulating the NCAA Tournament

    • 1 Videos
    • 2 Readings
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1 Videos

  • 8.6 Simulating the NCAA Tournament

2 Readings

  • Excel Files
  • Recommended Reading

Part 7 NCAA Props Bets

    • 1 Videos
    • 1 Readings
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1 Videos

  • 8.7 NCAA Props Bets

1 Readings

  • Excel Files

Homework Problem 32

    • 1 Readings
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1 Readings

  • Homework Problem 32

Test Question 32

    • 1 Assignment
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1 Assignment

  • Test 32

Part 1 Method of Maximum Likelihood

    • 1 Videos
    • 3 Readings
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1 Videos

  • 9.1 Method of Maximum Likelihood

3 Readings

  • Download Excel Files (Important!)
  • Excel Files
  • Recommended Reading

Part 2 Rating Teams Based on Wins and Losses

    • 1 Videos
    • 2 Readings
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1 Videos

  • 9.2 Rating Teams Based on Wins and Losses

2 Readings

  • Excel Files
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Homework Problem 33

    • 1 Readings
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1 Readings

  • Homework Problem 33

Test Qustion 33

    • 1 Assignment
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1 Assignment

  • Test 33

Part 3 Simulating the NFL Playoffs

    • 1 Videos
    • 1 Readings
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1 Videos

  • 9.3 Simulating the NFL Playoffs

1 Readings

  • Excel Files

Part 4 Rating NASCAR Drivers

    • 1 Videos
    • 1 Readings
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1 Videos

  • 9.4 Rating NASCAR Drivers

1 Readings

  • Excel Files

Part 5 How Good are NFL Point Spreads?

    • 1 Videos
    • 1 Readings
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1 Videos

  • 9.5 How Good are NFL Point Spreads

1 Readings

  • Excel Files

Part 6 Relating the Money Line to Point Spreads

    • 1 Videos
    • 2 Readings
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1 Videos

  • 9.6 Relating the Money Line to Point Spreads

2 Readings

  • Excel Files
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Homework Problem 34

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1 Readings

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Test Question 34

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  • Test 34

Part 7 How Can you tell if a Betting System is Successful?

    • 1 Videos
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1 Videos

  • 9.7 How Can you tell if a Betting System is Successful?

1 Readings

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Homework Problem 35

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Test Question 35

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  • Test 35

Part 8 Props Bets I

    • 1 Videos
    • 2 Readings
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1 Videos

  • 9.8 Props Bets I

2 Readings

  • Excel Files
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Part 9 Props Bets II

    • 1 Videos
    • 1 Readings
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1 Videos

  • 9.9 Props Bet II

1 Readings

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Part 10 Props Bets III

    • 1 Videos
    • 1 Readings
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1 Videos

  • 9.10 Props Bet III

1 Readings

  • Excel Files

Homework Problem 36

    • 1 Readings
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Test Question 36

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  • Test 36

Part 1 Kelly Growth Part I

    • 1 Videos
    • 3 Readings
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1 Videos

  • 10.1 Kelly Growth Part I

3 Readings

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  • Excel Files
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Part 2 Kelly Growth Part II

    • 1 Videos
    • 1 Readings
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1 Videos

  • 10.2 Kelly Growth Part II

1 Readings

  • Excel Files

Part 3 Kelly Growth Part III

    • 1 Videos
    • 1 Readings
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1 Videos

  • 10.3 Kelly Growth Part III

1 Readings

  • Excel Files

Homework Problem 37

    • 1 Readings
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1 Readings

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Test Queston 37

    • 1 Assignment
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  • Test 37

Part 4 Regression to the Mean

    • 1 Videos
    • 2 Readings
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1 Videos

  • 10.4 Regression to the Mean

2 Readings

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Homework Problem 38

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Test Question 38

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  • Test 38

Part 5 Daily Fantasy Sports Part I

    • 1 Videos
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1 Videos

  • 10.5 Daily Fantasy Sports Part I

1 Readings

  • Excel Files

Part 6 Daily Fantasy Sports Part II

    • 1 Videos
    • 1 Readings
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1 Videos

  • 10.6 Daily Fantasy Sports Part II

1 Readings

  • Excel Files

Homework Problem 39

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Test Question 39

    • 1 Assignment
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  • Test 39

Part 7 Golf Analytics

    • 1 Videos
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1 Videos

  • 10.7 Golf Analytics

1 Readings

  • Excel Files

Homework Problem 40

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Test Question 40

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  • Test 40

Final Exam Questions

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  • Final Exam

1 Readings

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"Math behind Moneyball" on Coursera delves into the use of probability, math, and statistics to enhance team performance and strategy in baseball, football, and basketball. A foundational Data Science & AI course, it spans approximately 3900 minutes and offers a starter subscription, making it ideal for sports enthusiasts and aspiring data scientists.

Professor Wayne Winston
Instructor

Professor Wayne Winston